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Red17
717812.0
817912.8
779111.5
Blue63
526310.0
283425.3
83016.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46422030506070801763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#25
12.82.5
12.710.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
blue by 12.5
2834
#10
25.32.2
20.823.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.1
End6.8
Second
7178
#29
12.02.5
14.912.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End4.4
blue by 4.7
830
#26
16.72.2
10.712.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Third
7791
#32
11.52.5
15.112.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
red by 1.6
5263
#31
10.02.2
8.710.9
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed