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Red69
842617.0
721123.1
556122.4
Blue38
83614.6
85198.8
370725.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644120801006938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.7
22.723.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End11.0
blue by 2.7
3707
#15
25.80.3
25.425.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End6.2
Second
5561
#14
22.40.5
21.121.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End11.3
red by 13.7
8519
#28
8.80.3
7.77.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Third
17.00.7
13.514.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End5.3
red by 12.3
8361
#35
4.60.3
8.27.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed