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Red44
50330.5
148122.5
45312.8
Blue33
83628.5
440516.8
725411.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68300204060801004433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
30.51.4
27.225.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End8.0
red by 13.8
4405
#22
16.80.0
15.715.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Second
1481
#12
22.51.4
20.118.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 11.5
7254
#36
11.00.0
9.49.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End3.5
Third
453
#24
12.81.4
11.610.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End6.1
red by 4.3
8362
#33
8.50.0
7.57.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed