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Red45
45312.8
83628.5
766022.5
Blue60
590718.8
370725.8
657017.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38712060801004560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#19
22.50.4
22.523.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.5
blue by 3.3
3707
#15
25.80.2
25.124.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End6.2
Second
453
#24
12.80.4
10.210.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End6.1
blue by 6.0
5907
#18
18.80.2
19.319.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Third
8362
#33
8.50.4
7.57.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.5
blue by 8.7
6570
#16
17.20.2
18.117.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned