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Red62
86224.4
261917.1
755320.5
Blue66
85198.8
436229.9
214514.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644410203040507080906266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#17
24.40.4
21.822.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End8.4
blue by 5.5
29.91.9
24.426.3
Auto10.7
Teleop7.7
End11.5
Second
7553
#11
20.50.4
19.720.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End8.5
red by 6.2
2145
#21
14.31.5
12.413.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End9.7
Third
2619
#27
17.10.4
15.716.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
red by 8.4
8519
#28
8.81.9
7.49.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned