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Red59
65616.2
1419.4
207540.2
Blue39
609021.1
610013.6
60058.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5846203040507080901005939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.1
38.338.4
Auto13.8
Teleop21.7
End4.7
red by 19.0
21.10.5
21.721.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End9.0
Second
141
#20
9.40.2
9.29.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End4.2
blue by 4.2
6100
#29
13.60.5
12.712.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End4.8
Third
6561
#35
6.20.1
5.55.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.9
blue by 2.6
6005
#34
8.80.5
10.510.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned