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Red49
360324.0
61287.3
781010.3
Blue39
828514.2
376719.1
43376.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050604939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.4
21.922.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 4.8
3767
#13
19.10.1
17.317.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Second
7810
#18
10.30.6
8.69.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 3.9
8285
#26
14.20.1
13.413.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.7
End0.8
Third
6128
#31
7.30.4
8.08.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.0
End2.8
red by 1.2
4337
#28
6.10.1
7.37.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed