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Red36
49568.5
54487.3
556719.0
Blue26
5255-0.6
64283.4
705421.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352301030405060703626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#11
19.00.4
16.717.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 2.4
7054
#21
21.40.2
20.220.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End1.1
Second
4956
#19
8.50.3
9.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End2.1
red by 5.1
6428
#37
3.40.3
2.83.0
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.2
Third
5448
#25
7.30.4
5.45.9
Auto0.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
red by 7.8
5255
#38
-0.60.3
-0.10.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop-0.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed3%Hangar oddsMissed