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Red48
77628.7
592612.8
612013.6
Blue26
656615.0
543615.9
54678.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293801020506070804826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6120
#12
13.61.3
8.910.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 2.3
5436
#10
15.90.9
15.114.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End6.9
Second
5926
#15
12.81.3
7.79.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 2.2
6566
#14
15.00.9
9.68.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End5.1
Third
7762
#27
8.71.3
11.813.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.7
red by 0.3
5467
#24
8.40.9
9.99.0
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned