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Red74
76928.8
317527.5
20128.2
Blue20
516713.9
49613.7
213712.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283501020405060707420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#3
28.25.2
10.315.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End9.0
red by 14.3
5167
#32
13.91.8
11.810.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End4.1
Second
27.55.2
10.415.6
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 14.9
2137
#18
12.61.8
11.09.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
Third
7692
#31
8.85.2
6.411.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.9
red by 5.1
4961
#33
3.71.8
9.57.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed