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Red61
607823.5
872820.4
283221.2
Blue66
659117.9
22639.9
492627.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671020501506166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#10
23.50.6
21.420.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
blue by 16.4
226
#3
39.91.6
42.040.4
Auto7.1
Teleop22.2
End10.6
Second
2832
#11
21.20.6
25.324.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.8
blue by 6.1
27.31.6
30.629.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Third
20.40.6
20.019.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End6.3
red by 2.5
17.91.6
17.816.2
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned