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Red44
546032.1
57043.6
686119.1
Blue32
365622.6
842410.5
15558.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5837020801001201404432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.4
33.833.4
Auto12.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
red by 9.5
22.60.3
20.720.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End7.9
Second
19.10.4
14.113.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
red by 8.7
8424
#13
10.50.3
6.56.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Third
5704
#14
3.60.4
2.52.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 5.0
1555
#15
8.60.3
9.99.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed