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Red99
365622.6
335741.1
999725.4
Blue79
22639.9
546032.1
872820.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711070501502009979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.4
38.039.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.0
End10.5
red by 1.2
226
#3
39.91.1
40.439.3
Auto7.1
Teleop22.2
End10.6
Second
25.42.1
15.117.2
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End7.2
blue by 6.7
32.11.1
33.832.8
Auto12.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
22.61.4
21.522.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End7.9
red by 2.3
20.41.1
20.719.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned