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Red43
283221.2
365622.6
492627.3
Blue52
365522.2
872820.4
659117.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80650501001504352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.32.5
26.323.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
red by 5.1
3655
#12
22.21.2
23.322.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Second
22.62.5
22.820.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End7.9
red by 2.3
20.41.2
19.718.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End6.3
Third
2832
#11
21.22.5
23.120.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.8
red by 3.3
17.91.2
19.017.8
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned