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Red20
65565.3
15286.5
261115.5
Blue27
36196.4
21713.7
37738.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2925010204050602027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#14
15.50.7
12.511.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
red by 1.8
217
#21
13.70.3
12.112.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Second
1528
#29
6.50.7
5.34.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 2.1
3773
#28
8.60.3
8.38.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Third
6556
#39
5.30.7
8.78.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.4
blue by 1.0
3619
#26
6.40.2
3.94.1
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed