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Red75
722112.0
817915.9
102342.0
Blue59
657019.8
553012.4
567622.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465330405060707559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.02.1
26.428.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.8
End6.8
red by 20.0
22.00.2
17.417.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End10.2
Second
8179
#17
15.92.1
12.914.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End6.2
blue by 3.8
19.80.1
18.017.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
Third
7221
#18
12.03.4
4.98.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End3.8
blue by 0.4
5530
#20
12.40.2
13.213.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsMissed