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Red12
65565.3
356813.6
65287.6
Blue20
506611.8
714713.8
83147.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35220103040506070801220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#13
13.61.3
13.011.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End5.0
blue by 0.1
7147
#11
13.80.3
8.38.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
Second
6528
#34
7.62.1
10.07.9
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
blue by 4.2
5066
#19
11.80.3
7.97.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End4.1
Third
6556
#39
5.32.1
8.05.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.4
blue by 2.5
8314
#35DQ
7.80.3
6.56.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed