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Red42
514411.7
37738.6
657019.8
Blue50
360420.4
15286.5
546226.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3637203040504250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.5
17.918.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
blue by 6.6
26.41.1
16.517.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
Second
5144
#22
11.70.5
7.88.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End4.7
blue by 8.6
20.41.8
13.114.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
Third
3773
#28
8.60.9
8.69.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End3.0
red by 2.1
1528
#29
6.51.8
4.66.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned