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Red53
842313.8
506713.0
567622.0
Blue21
65287.6
555910.7
15286.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250102030506070805321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.8
18.420.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End10.2
red by 11.3
5559
#32
10.70.6
11.310.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Second
8423
#16
13.81.1
10.111.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 6.2
6528
#34
7.61.0
7.97.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Third
5067
#15
13.01.1
8.29.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End5.3
red by 6.5
1528
#29
6.51.0
6.45.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed