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Red37
65565.3
657019.8
107611.6
Blue37
57564.8
514411.7
83147.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391901030506070803737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
red by 8.0
5144
#22
11.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End4.7
Second
1076
#23
11.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End6.5
red by 3.8
8314
#35
7.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
6556
#39
5.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.4
red by 0.5
5756
#40
4.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed