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Red26
43954.4
817915.9
714713.8
Blue55
261115.5
354220.9
360420.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31530204060801002655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#17
15.90.7
15.715.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End6.2
blue by 5.0
3542
#25
20.90.6
18.118.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Second
7147
#11
13.81.1
8.06.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
blue by 6.6
20.40.9
14.915.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
Third
4395
#37
4.41.1
8.17.0
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.0
End2.1
blue by 11.1
2611
#14
15.50.9
13.614.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned