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Red50
82975.9
360420.4
561216.7
Blue44
889513.9
354220.9
83147.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060801005044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.7
19.219.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
blue by 0.6
3542
#25
20.90.3
20.020.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Second
16.70.5
16.617.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End6.5
red by 2.9
8895
#30
13.90.4
11.511.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Third
8297
#36
5.90.6
6.37.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 1.9
8314
#35
7.80.4
7.78.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned4%Hangar oddsMissed