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Red89
353849.0
150231.8
555910.7
Blue60
546226.4
506611.8
261115.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024402060801201401608960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.0
48.748.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.4
End12.9
red by 22.6
26.40.5
25.425.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
Second
31.80.0
29.929.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.2
End10.2
red by 16.3
2611
#14
15.50.6
14.915.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Third
5559
#32
10.70.0
9.89.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End3.4
blue by 1.1
5066
#19
11.80.6
8.69.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsMissed