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Red54
356813.6
360420.4
889513.9
Blue57
657019.8
722112.0
354220.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465602040801005457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.8
19.920.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
blue by 0.6
3542
#25
20.90.1
20.420.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Second
8895
#30
13.90.8
11.912.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.9
End1.4
blue by 5.9
19.80.1
19.619.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
Third
3568
#13
13.60.6
12.413.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End5.0
red by 1.6
7221
#18
12.00.2
11.211.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned