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Red20
842313.8
61015.6
36196.4
Blue44
837319.4
561216.7
37738.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225204060801002044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8423
#16
13.80.3
13.112.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 5.5
8373
#12
19.40.4
19.619.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Second
3619
#26
6.40.3
5.85.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End4.6
blue by 10.4
16.70.3
17.116.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End6.5
Third
6101
#33
5.60.3
5.35.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 3.0
3773
#28
8.60.4
8.37.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed