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Red35
615014.6
356813.6
261115.5
Blue33
842313.8
107611.6
555910.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392801020506070803533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#14
15.50.0
12.512.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
red by 1.7
8423
#16
13.80.4
8.18.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Second
6150
#10
14.60.0
9.59.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End4.4
red by 3.0
1076
#23
11.60.4
8.08.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End6.5
Third
3568
#13
13.60.0
12.812.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End5.0
red by 2.9
5559
#32
10.70.4
11.311.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed