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Red40
506713.0
506611.8
102342.0
Blue12
514411.7
714713.8
88325.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47250204060804012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.1
26.526.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.8
End6.8
red by 28.2
7147
#11
13.82.0
9.47.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
Second
5067
#15
13.00.1
8.38.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End5.3
red by 1.2
5144
#22
11.71.2
8.97.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End4.7
Third
5066
#19
11.80.2
6.86.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End4.1
red by 6.5
8832
#24
5.31.2
8.06.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed