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Red39
65389.1
504615.2
567622.0
Blue79
360420.4
37738.6
353849.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4463020801001203979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
18.317.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End10.2
blue by 27.1
49.01.2
39.740.9
Auto10.7
Teleop25.4
End12.9
Second
5046
#27
15.20.6
15.514.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End8.7
blue by 5.2
20.42.0
11.113.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
Third
6538
#31
9.10.9
9.78.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 0.5
3773
#28
8.62.0
6.38.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned