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Red70
368816.3
362025.9
295912.6
Blue53
22617.6
7419.9
9049.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58492040801007053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.4
25.425.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End7.7
red by 6.0
74
#7
19.90.1
19.820.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End5.6
Second
3688
#14
16.30.4
15.816.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.2
blue by 1.3
226
#11
17.60.1
17.517.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End6.8
Third
2959
#24
12.60.4
12.012.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
red by 2.8
904
#25
9.80.1
9.79.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End3.9