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Red35
432516.0
553518.9
19409.8
Blue46
423714.7
205421.0
505611.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46510204060801003546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.2
18.618.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
blue by 2.1
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End7.7
Second
16.00.2
15.815.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End8.4
red by 1.4
4237
#12
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto6.5
Teleop3.5
End4.7
Third
1940
#30
9.80.2
9.59.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End2.4
blue by 1.6
5056
#22
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End4.1