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Red56
432516.0
553518.9
19409.8
Blue36
561014.2
719513.8
24411.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45410102030506070805636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.3
18.018.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
red by 4.7
5610
#13
14.20.1
14.214.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End5.2
Second
16.00.3
15.115.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End8.4
red by 2.3
7195
#10
13.80.1
13.813.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End5.9
Third
1940
#30
9.80.4
8.69.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End2.4
blue by 1.3
244
#18
11.10.1
11.111.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0