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Red48
432516.0
553518.9
19409.8
Blue53
423714.7
205421.0
505611.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47500204060801001201404853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.1
18.818.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
blue by 2.1
21.00.2
20.921.0
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End7.7
Second
16.00.1
16.016.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End8.4
red by 1.4
4237
#12
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto6.5
Teleop3.5
End4.7
Third
1940
#30
9.80.1
9.79.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End2.4
blue by 1.6
5056
#22
11.40.1
11.311.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End4.1