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Red106
5132.2
296030.7
32211.9
Blue78
22624.2
57326.3
835217.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747140608010012010678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#12
32.20.5
30.531.0
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End9.5
red by 5.9
573
#8
26.30.1
26.226.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End9.0
Second
30.70.5
28.929.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.0
End8.3
red by 6.5
226
#10
24.20.1
24.124.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End9.7
Third
322
#36
11.90.5
10.110.7
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 5.2
8352
#25
17.10.1
17.017.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.7