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Red131
546041.1
233741.8
719214.2
Blue104
833233.4
353434.5
656616.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108854060100120140160131104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.6
42.142.8
Auto13.6
Teleop20.0
End8.2
red by 7.2
34.50.4
34.134.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End13.4
Second
41.10.6
41.542.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 7.8
33.40.4
33.033.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End9.4
Third
7192
#21
14.20.6
14.615.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End5.5
blue by 1.9
6566
#24
16.10.4
15.716.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End5.5