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Red28
653213.2
56428.1
889510.3
Blue55
776921.8
33029.7
77165.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333001020405060702855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6532
#23
13.20.4
11.711.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 8.6
7769
#15
21.81.5
17.118.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.6
End6.5
Second
8895
#38
10.30.4
16.115.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.7
red by 0.6
3302
#30
9.71.5
7.08.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End1.2
Third
5642
#32
8.10.4
2.62.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 2.2
7716
#34
5.92.5
4.57.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed