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Red72
148120.5
222410.9
233741.8
Blue31
505318.8
309611.2
485410.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673902060801001207231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.3
30.831.2
Auto13.6
Teleop20.0
End8.2
red by 22.9
5053
#16
18.80.6
20.720.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Second
1481
#18
20.50.3
19.920.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End6.5
red by 9.3
3096
#28
11.20.6
10.29.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.6
Third
2224
#17
10.90.3
8.48.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 0.4
4854
#26
10.50.6
9.18.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed