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Red28
835217.1
77165.9
438419.5
Blue81
590723.7
485410.5
833233.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445520801002881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#14
19.51.0
17.716.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End5.8
blue by 13.9
33.42.9
19.722.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End9.4
Second
8352
#25
17.11.0
17.916.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.7
blue by 6.6
5907
#13
23.71.8
23.224.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
7716
#34
5.91.7
7.55.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End1.6
blue by 4.6
4854
#26
10.51.8
7.79.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned