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Red81
5132.2
719214.2
776921.8
Blue44
102522.1
267312.7
889510.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64502040801001208144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#12
32.21.3
21.522.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End9.5
red by 10.2
22.10.3
21.120.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.4
End4.8
Second
7769
#15
21.81.3
23.624.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.6
End6.5
red by 9.1
2673
#29
12.70.3
13.313.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Third
7192
#21
14.21.3
12.914.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End5.5
red by 3.9
8895
#38
10.30.3
14.013.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsEarned