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Red50
835217.1
485410.5
296030.7
Blue75
6750.6
36325.4
309611.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445720801005075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.5
24.224.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.0
End8.3
blue by 19.9
67
#2
50.61.0
39.140.1
Auto13.0
Teleop24.0
End13.6
Second
8352
#25
17.10.5
13.914.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.7
red by 5.9
3096
#28
11.21.1
8.29.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.6
Third
4854
#26
10.50.5
4.95.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.3
red by 5.1
3632
#39
5.41.1
4.75.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed