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Red49
438419.5
776921.8
60963.4
Blue36
55326.0
24716.4
719214.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372701020506070804936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#15
21.81.0
14.015.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.6
End6.5
red by 5.4
247
#20
16.40.6
12.813.4
Auto6.3
Teleop4.6
End5.5
Second
4384
#14
19.51.0
16.317.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End5.8
red by 5.3
7192
#21
14.20.7
9.910.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End5.5
Third
6096
#40
3.41.2
3.54.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End-0.5
blue by 2.5
5532
#33
6.00.7
4.45.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed