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Red34
353434.5
267312.7
52397.9
Blue48
590723.7
88998.2
148120.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385302060801001201403448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.2
20.920.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End13.4
red by 10.9
5907
#13
23.70.2
18.818.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Second
2673
#29
12.70.3
8.48.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.7
blue by 7.8
1481
#18
20.50.3
22.522.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End6.5
Third
5239
#27
7.90.4
8.17.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End1.5
blue by 0.2
8899
#19
8.20.4
6.46.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsMissed