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Red62
33029.7
296030.7
267312.7
Blue42
309611.2
835217.1
88998.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52350204060806242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.8
26.927.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.0
End8.3
red by 13.6
8352
#25
17.10.5
15.415.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.7
Second
2673
#29
12.70.8
13.013.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.7
red by 1.5
3096
#28
11.20.5
10.010.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.6
Third
3302
#30
9.70.8
6.57.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End1.2
red by 1.5
8899
#19
8.20.7
9.510.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed