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Red62
125017.3
88998.2
296030.7
Blue42
505318.8
56428.1
719214.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5943020801006242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.6
28.028.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.0
End8.3
red by 11.9
5053
#16
18.80.0
20.320.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Second
1250
#31
17.30.6
17.718.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End3.8
red by 3.1
7192
#21
14.20.0
14.013.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End5.5
Third
8899
#19
8.20.7
7.58.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
red by 0.1
5642
#32
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed