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Red19
65524.8
55048.2
77945.8
Blue45
52476.7
522413.5
508629.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15410102030506070801945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5504
#24
8.20.4
6.56.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 20.9
29.20.7
18.319.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.4
End9.4
Second
7794
#36
5.80.4
7.97.6
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End3.6
blue by 7.7
5224
#14
13.50.7
10.411.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Third
6552
#30
4.80.4
2.52.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.3
End1.5
blue by 2.0
5247
#28
6.70.7
6.26.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned