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Red49
52038.8
376721.3
552516.8
Blue26
65337.5
78555.3
71559.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4019060804926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.9
19.520.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 11.8
7155
#22
9.50.4
8.28.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Second
16.80.9
8.08.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End10.3
red by 9.3
6533
#32
7.50.4
7.78.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.2
Third
5203
#33
8.80.9
7.68.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End1.5
red by 3.5
7855
#29
5.30.4
4.54.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed