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Red34
612113.9
779016.3
600514.8
Blue39
71559.5
52476.7
804111.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382101030506070803439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#12
16.30.0
10.410.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End6.3
red by 4.8
8041
#18
11.50.6
6.47.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End4.8
Second
6005
#15
14.80.0
9.29.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
red by 5.3
7155
#22
9.50.6
8.69.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Third
6121
#19
13.90.0
13.713.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 7.2
5247
#28
6.70.6
6.97.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned