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Red34
609712.1
132212.9
498313.6
Blue18
65337.5
55048.2
554711.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4422060801003418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
#16
13.60.3
11.311.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 2.1
5547
#11
11.50.3
9.28.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Second
1322
#21
12.90.3
11.010.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
red by 4.7
5504
#24
8.20.3
5.75.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
Third
6097
#27
12.10.3
15.915.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.4
red by 4.6
6533
#32
7.50.3
8.17.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed