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Red61
437717.1
376721.3
171131.7
Blue40
71559.5
498313.6
522413.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions752902040601001206140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.2
28.528.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End14.8
red by 18.1
4983
#16
13.60.4
11.511.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Second
21.30.2
20.019.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 7.8
5224
#14
13.50.4
12.212.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Third
17.10.2
16.115.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.2
red by 7.6
7155
#22
9.50.4
9.810.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed