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Red20
69638.4
86117.2
52038.8
Blue15
77945.8
368817.8
132212.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1643060801002015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5203
#33
8.80.1
8.78.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End1.5
blue by 9.0
17.81.5
17.516.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End4.0
Second
6963
#25
8.40.1
5.05.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End5.3
blue by 4.4
1322
#21
12.91.5
11.810.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
Third
8611
#20
7.20.1
5.15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.4
red by 1.4
7794
#36
5.81.5
7.66.2
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
2%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed