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Red54
608716.2
353715.0
779016.3
Blue26
498313.6
52038.8
77945.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4129010205060705426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#12
16.31.1
8.49.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End6.3
red by 2.6
4983
#16
13.60.5
11.911.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Second
16.21.1
15.416.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 7.4
5203
#33
8.80.5
8.88.3
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
15.01.1
13.314.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
red by 9.2
7794
#36
5.80.5
8.47.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed